DYM Poll: The PP recovers after closing its crisis and the PSOE rises at the expense of Unidas Podemos and remains leader.

The time it has taken the PP to solve its internal crisis and define its next leadership is the time it has needed to recover in the polls. This is reflected in the DYM poll for 20minutos, which shows that the PP have recovered almost three points that they had lost and would now obtain 24.2% of the votes, thus gaining almost 3 points with respect to last February’s barometer.

The PP is placed with between 105 and 109 seats, a little more than 4 points behind the PSOE, which continues in first position, as it was in February, with 28.7% of the estimated vote and between 108 and 114 deputies after rising a little more than half a point.

United Podemos and Vox are the main victims of these increases of PSOE and PP, respectively: the purple party loses 6 tenths and stands at 11.9% of vote intention (27-30 seats), while Santiago Abascal’s party drops more than 2.5 points and falls to 17.2% (56-60 deputies). Cs, for its part, remains at 3.6% of the votes in this March poll, which gives them between 2 and 3 parliamentarians.

Evolution of the estimated vote in the March barometer of DYM. Henar de Pedro

This barometer was carried out between March 16 and 19, once it was known that Feijóo will be the next president of the PP as he is the only candidate to replace Pablo Casado, thus closing the internal crisis.

The poll was also made in the middle of the war in Ukraine and knowing the Government’s decision to send arms to that country, as well as the announcement of President Pedro Sánchez to increase the Defense budget, which generated strong tensions with his coalition partners.

PP and Vox together would obtain more seats than the left-wing bloc

.
The result obtained by PSOE and PP in voting intention in this March poll is better than the one reached by both parties in the November 2019 elections: in the case of PSOE, it rises four tenths and in the case of the Popular Party, 3.2 points.

In the best case scenario, PSOE and Unidas Podemos would add 144 deputies, which would rise to 147 if those of Más País are added, far from the absolute majority of 176 parliamentarians.

On the other hand, PP and Vox would obtain together more seats than the left bloc, with 169 in the highest estimation, so they would be only seven deputies away from the majority they could obtain if they added Cs and other small parties.

The closing of the internal crisis in the PP reveals that 81.5% of those surveyed who voted for the PP in the previous election would do it again for the same party, but 10.5% of those who say they would opt for Vox. This party, on the other hand, slightly decreases the loyalty of its voters, going from 93.1% to 86.1%. In March, socialist voters who would repeat in a next appointment with the ballot box increase, up to 79%, and those who fall are those of Unidas Podemos, dropping ten points (from 77 to 67) with respect to February the voters who would return to deposit the purple ballot.

On the other hand, the survey reveals that the valuation of the Government improves two tenths with respect to February, standing at a score of 4. PSOE and Unidas Podemos voters are those who value it best, with 6.4 and 6, respectively, while those of the PP give it a 2.4 and those of Vox, a 1.4.

Present

Este sitio web utiliza cookies para que usted tenga la mejor experiencia de usuario. Si continúa navegando está dando su consentimiento para la aceptación de las mencionadas cookies y la aceptación de nuestra política de cookies, pinche el enlace para mayor información.plugin cookies

ACEPTAR
Aviso de cookies