DYM poll: Feijóo’s PP outperforms PSOE and would add absolute majority with Vox.

  • The Popular Party recovers the ground lost after the internal battle that ousted Casado and Vox slows down its rise.
  • The PSOE loses almost 2% of votes compared to March and loses first place. United We Can harvests 11%.
  • DYM poll: Feijoó consolidates his position as the most valued leader and beats Pedro Sánchez by almost one point.

The PP has gathered its electorate around its new leader, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, and would already be the political force that would gather the most support in a general election: 27.6% of the votes, which would translate into 115-119 seats. A sum that, repeating the same formula as Alfonso Fernández Mañueco in Castilla y León, would enable the Popular Party to dislodge Pedro Sánchez from the Moncloa through a government agreement with Vox. The party led by Santiago Abascal, although it slows down the effervescence of the last months and decreases slightly, would reach between 54-58 deputies as a result of 16.8% of the ballots. The advance between both formations is of 8.2 points with respect to the elections of November 2019.

This is the result of the barometer elaborated by the DYM institute for 20minutos corresponding to the month of April. In the highest range of seats that the survey gives to PP and Vox, both would add 177 deputies, one above the absolute majority. In the lowest range, they would obtain 169 seats.

The PSOE’s voting intention, in the other ideological band, would decrease by 1.8% with respect to the March survey. The Socialists, who came out on top last month after the internal war of the PP that ended with the leadership of Pablo Casado, would see their electoral prospects eroded by the crisis aggravated by the war in Ukraine. Thus, the party led by Pedro Sánchez would obtain between 104 and 109 deputies and 26.5% of the votes. A decline shared with the minority partner of the Government coalition, Unidas Podemos, which would scrape 11% of the votes (half a point less than in March), that is to say, between 23 and 27 seats in the Lower House. Socialists and purples, in sum, would reap between 127, in the lowest range, and 136 deputies, in the best case, so they would fall far short of the 155 they obtained in the general elections of November 2019.

This is the situation of the four main political forces a few weeks before the elections in Andalusia, confirmed by Juanma Moreno the electoral advance for next June 19. The president of the Junta de Andalucía, despite the improvement of the perception of the PP brand, will mark his own profile in elections where the Popular Party will try to zigzag another electoral agreement with Vox.

The survey also consolidates the most ominous forecasts of Ciudadanos, which with 2.9% of the votes would get only one or two seats in the Carrera de San Jerónimo. The liberal option led by Inés Arrimadas, which already remained as a residual option in Castilla y León with Francisco Igea as the only procurator, faces the elections in Andalucía as one more step in its difficult situation.


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